Monday, September 15, 2008

an appraiser


What is an appraiser?

An appraiser is one who develops and reports an opinion of value on a specific type of property. Appraisers may opt to specialize in various disciplines such as:

• Real Property appraisal, which is the valuation of real estate. Real Property appraisers can choose specialties to practice within such as residential, commercial and agricultural.

• Personal Property appraisal, which encompasses all types of personal property such as fine and decorative arts, antiques, gems and jewelry, and machinery and equipment.

• Business Valuation which is the valuing of businesses including all tangible and intangible assets ranging from the value of the equipment to the value of the business name or logo.

• Mass Appraisal which encompasses techniques that are used when valuing multiple types of real property or personal property using generally recognized formulas.

While most appraisers choose to specialize in just one area of practice, many appraisers practice in more than one discipline.

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<>What skills are required to become an appraiser? <>
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<>All appraisers must have good analytical skills and work well with numbers. In addition, appraisers spend much time interacting with clients and writing reports, so good oral and written communications skills are a must. <>
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<>Does the government regulate appraisers? <>
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<>Currently, the government regulates only real property appraisers. The power of regulation currently rests with the individual states and territories that issue licenses and certificates to real property appraisers. In addition, each individual state appraiser regulatory agency is responsible for disciplining appraisers.

At this time, there are no immediate plans for the regulation of appraisers who specialize in other types of property.



How do I become an appraiser?
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The process of becoming an appraiser differs according to the various appraisal disciplines. Most appraisers are required to have a certain number of hours of education and experience. In addition, if an appraiser wishes to become state licensed or certified in real property or if an appraiser wishes to become “designated” by an appraisal organization, they must also pass a comprehensive examination.

The Appraiser Qualifications Board (AQB) of The Appraisal Foundation establishes the following minimum criteria (current and as of 1/1/08) for state licensed/certified real property appraisers:

Category

Current

Requirements1

1/1/08

Requirements1, 2

1/1/08 College-Level

Course Requirements3

License

90 hours

150 hours

None

Certified

Residential

120 hours

200 hours

Associate degree or higher. In lieu

of the required degree, Twenty-one

(21) semester credit hours covering

the following subject matter courses:

English Composition; Principles of

Economics (Micro or Macro); Finance; Algebra, Geometry or higher mathematics; Statistics; Computer Science and Business or Real Estate Law.

Certified General

180 hours

300 hours

Bachelors degree or higher. In

lieu of the required degree Thirty

(30) semester credit hours covering

the following subject matter courses:

English Composition; Micro

Economics; Macro Economics;

Finance; Algebra, Geometry or

higher mathematics; Statistics;

Computer Science, Business or Real Estate Law; and two (2) elective courses in accounting, geography;

agricultural economics; business management; or real estate.

1 Hours required include completion of the 15-hour National USPAP Course (or its equivalent).

2 Hours required include specific core curriculum courses and hours – please see the Real Property Appraiser Qualification Criteria for details.

3 College-level courses and degrees must be obtained from an accredited college or university.

For those seeking a real property credential: Please note that individual states may adopt requirements more stringent than the national requirements, and may opt to impose those requirements prior to January 1, 2008. Therefore, applicants for a real estate appraisal license or certification should always check with their state board for individual requirements.

For more information, please review the brochure entitled “How to Enter the Real Property Appraisal Profession,” which is available on a complimentary basis from The Appraisal Foundation.

The AQB has also established voluntary minimum criteria for personal property appraisers.

Experience Required

Education Required

Exam Required

Personal Property Appraiser Minimum Qualification Criteria

*1,800-4,500 Hours

120 hours

Yes





* Experience requirements range from 1,800 hours of personal property appraisal experience, of which 900 hours must be specialized, to 4,500 hours of market related personal property non-appraisal experience in areas of specialization.

Do I need a college degree to become an appraiser?

Appraisal education in the United States has typically been provided by professional appraisal organizations. Accordingly, at the present time it is not necessary to have a college degree in order to become an appraiser. Many appraisers choose to receive training through traditional methods, such as through professional appraisal organizations. It should be noted that some of these associations require a college degree for their advanced designations. On an increasing basis, appraisers are supplementing their education through courses at the community college or university level.

With regard to real property appraisal, effective January 1, 2008, there are college-level education requirements for the Certified Residential and Certified General classifications. These requirements can be found in the Real Property Appraiser Qualification Criteria publication available from The Appraisal Foundation.

What is an appraisal “designation”?

An appraisal designation is awarded by one of many professional trade organizations that represent appraisers (see listing of Appraisal Sponsors on the back panel). Designations are awarded after an individual has completed a specific course of appraiser training through an organization. Each organization offers multiple designations in differing fields or specialties.

How do I become a designated appraiser?

You will need to contact one of the many professional organizations representing appraisers regarding membership and the course of action for membership and designation requirements.

<> <>Why should I join a professional appraisal organization? <>
A professional appraisal organization provides appraisers with the opportunity to network with other professionals, to keep abreast of pertinent issues such as regulatory changes, and to receive continuing education. <>

How do I obtain trainee experience?
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Trainee experience can be gained by aligning yourself with a professional, established appraiser as an apprentice or a trainee. Many appraisers work as an apprentice while completing the required education. Many states have formal trainee programs for real property appraisers.

What is the demand for qualified appraisers?

<>There is a wide array of clients that use appraisals such as lenders, insurance companies, attorneys, governments, museums and tax assessors. <>

What is The Appraisal Foundation?
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The Appraisal Foundation is a non-profit educational organization dedicated to the promulgation of professional appraisal standards and appraiser qualifications for all appraisal disciplines. The Foundation accomplishes this mission through the work of two independent Boards, the Appraiser Qualifications Board (AQB) and the Appraisal Standards Board (ASB).

Why should I be interested in the work of The Appraisal Foundation?

The Appraisal Foundation, through its Appraisal Standards Board (ASB), publishes the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP), which is the generally accepted set of performance standards for appraisers. It is these standards that are enforced by state governments and various professional appraisal organizations. In addition, the minimum qualifications for certain appraisal disciplines are established by the Appraiser Qualifications Board (AQB) of the Foundation.

Who are the Appraisal Sponsors of The Appraisal Foundation?

The organizations listed on the next panel meet certain criteria to be a Sponsor and also provide financial support and advice to the Foundation. Appraisal Sponsors are non-profit appraisal organizations. Affiliate Sponsors are non-profit organizations with an interest in valuation. All of our Appraisal Sponsors offer educational programs and represent the interests of appraisers.

Sunday, September 7, 2008

The Analysis and Valuation of Health Care Enterprises


The Analysis and Valuation of Health Care Enterprises

Review by Stephen Traub, ASA

ACCORDING TO THE AUTHOR, the US spends about $1 trillion annually on health care. Much of this is spent in the nation's 7,500 acute hospitals, 750 psychiatric or mental health facilities, 15,900 nursing homes, 10,000 rest homes, and about 30,000 ambulatory care facilities.

Oriented toward real estate and business appraisers, the book "aims to provide an understanding of, as well as the technical knowledge about this specialized field." Since most health care facilities contain operating businesses, most assignments require allocations of a variety of assets. These include personal property and business components. Intangibles at hospitals include patient lists, provider and physician contacts, staff in place, name reputation, etc.

Common pitfalls appraisers face in medical facility valuation is basing the income approach on a facility's performance unrepresentative of the norm. This can cause error (e.g., the difference between an 82% and 91% operating ratio can result in a net income available for capitalization that is off by 90%).

Facilities analyzed include:

  • Medical and Surgical (Acute) Hospitals
  • Psychiatric Hospitals
  • Ambulatory Care
  • Nursing Homes
  • Assisted Living Facilities
  • Subacute and Alzheimer's Care Facilities
  • Medical Office Buildings

Nursing Homes

Nursing homes brought in about $60 billion in the US in 1994. They are highly regulated, yet the risks of ownership come from newer alternatives such as congregate care retirement centers (CCRCs), assisted living facilities (ALFs) and home care. In the US, 1,715,000 beds exist in about 16,800 nursing homes. About 70% are for-profit, 23% non-profit, and 7% government run. About 67% are skilled nursing facility (SNF) beds, 27% intermediate care facility (ICF) beds, and 6% uncertified. The most common SNF has 90 to 100 beds.

The target group of SNFs, 85+ year olds, is expected to grow. In 1993 this group represented 3.3 million. By the year 2000 this number will grow to 4.6 million.

The nation's 381 chains operate 41% of all nursing home facilities. Two-thirds of SNF beds are paid for by Medicare, Medicaid, or other government program with states and the federal government sharing the expense.

SNFs that receive all Medicaid funding have the lowest profit margins, while those that focus on private pay patients have the largest profit margins. Nevertheless, some SNFs to boost earnings are focusing on sub-acute care. Compared to hospitals at $700 - $1,000 per day, sub-acute beds at a nursing home can charge only $300 - $500 per day. This strategy has boosted revenues and profits at SNFs.

Demand

To determine demand, a market analysis must be performed. This includes defining the bounds of the market area. The bounds may be delineated by hospital service areas, driving times, or current locational sources of existing patients. Demographics are important in determining demand: one state uses the following criteria:

Age
Bracket

--

Beds needed
per 1,000 population
(15 mile radius)

Under 65

--

1.1

65 to 74

--

20

75 to 84

--

70

85 and over

--

200

Occupancy rates are considered key in determining the future outlook. The average occupancy rate in the US is 91%. In my neck of the woods, ME, NH, and MA, occupancies are running 97%. Many New England states currently have moratoriums on adding new beds. Nevertheless, nationwide in 1994, 45 projects were completed at an average cost per bed of $70,000. The average SNF size per bed has grown from 200 SF per bed (now considered cramped) to over 250 SF.

Valuation

With regard to the land, the author states that land is usually purchased on a per bed basis and typically contributes 15% to 20% to the total value. Of prime importance, however, is income and expenses and these are discussed in detail. The author provides tables of each state's absolute dollars spent on overall expenses per bed as well as a breakdown by major expense category. Expense to income ratios also are included. Lastly, risk factor premiums are looked at in relation to average commercial real estate investments in establishing discount or cap rates.

With regard to the Sales Comparison Approach, large variations in SNFs make its use difficult. The best for which one can hope is to establish a range of value. The most common unit of comparison is price per bed, with secondary measures including gross rent multipliers and price per SF.

Assisted Living Facilities (ALFs)

Regardless of age, those capable of independent living will remain independent until impairments with activities of daily living force them to seek assisted living arrangements. ALF costs are significantly less than around-the-clock home health care and SNFs. Moreover, ALFs typically are more home-like than SNFs. Residents with limitations in activities of daily living, therefore, find ALFs a good interim solution between independent living and a nursing home.


A growing area is
Alzheimer's care.


Currently about 40,000 ALF facilities house about 1,000,000. Turnover at ALFs can be a headache, however. Residents on average only stay 22 months. About 42% of those leave because they need more care. Another 16% leave as a result of death. It is prudent, therefore, for management to attract the most healthy individuals. They are more likely to stay for extended periods. This is not easy, however, since demand primarily is from those with multiple limitations.

Because of the specialized needs of ALF residents, ALF design is more expensive than regular apartments. It includes special height door latches, switches, and faucets for those in wheel chairs and a wide range of extras. Double occupancy units, therefore, can be attractive for those with limited incomes, while singles are more predominant in upscale facilities. Typically, units are located around a large common area with TV and recreational activities as well as a central dining facility -- though individual units may contain kitchenettes.

ALF Valuation

Most new projects are sized from 80 to 120 units. Costs (not including FF&E or land) are $70+ per SF. Recent acquisitions have had EGIMs of 2.9 and expense ratios of 55% to 70%.

A growing area is Alzheimer's care. About 10% of all facilities have special freestanding facilities or wings. Nearly 50% of new facilities include units for this group. Where these individuals used to be the "black sheep" of nursing homes -- often isolated or overmedicated -- they now are lodged in smaller scale, more home-like ALF atmospheres. They offer a better quality of life delivered at savings of about $20 per day as compared to a SNF. Facilities for Alzheimer's patients must have more staff than regular ALFs, however. Also special, secure areas and alarm systems must be in place for wanderers. Higher daily or monthly rates and occupancy rates, however, justify these added costs.

Subsequent chapters include valuation of medical office buildings and even business valuation of a family medical practice. The only two gripes I have are the typos: "licencing" and "dap rate" for example, and that some of the data is a year or two older than I would have liked.

Nonetheless, if you are involved or plan to be involved in the valuation of health care facilities, the book is a valuable resource. It provides a summary of state requirements/regulations for ALFs, a glossary of health facility terms, and an expansive bibliography. So as promised, the author fulfills his goal of providing "an understanding of, as well as the technical knowledge about this specialized field."

Friday, September 5, 2008


Understanding Direct Capitalization



Capitalization Rate


This article is intended as a review for practising appraisers as well as an introduction to the new terminology and subscript notations being used in current appraisal texts. Much of it has been excerpted from the new textbook of the APPRAISAL INSTITUTE OF CANADA Basics of Real Estate Appraising, First Edition, which is now used in the academic program which commenced in September, 1991. Similar methodology and terminology is presented in the Appraising of Real Estate, 9th Edition, American Institute Of Appraisers.


Capitalization is the process of converting income (as defined) from a property into an expression of capital value. Therefore, a capitalization rate is nothing more than the mathematical relationship between the income and the capital value. There are two basic methods of capitalization: the direct method and the yield method.

Many rates can be used in capitalization, including the following list, which also indicates the method associated with the rates:

Direct Method

  1. Gross Income Multiplier (GIM)
  2. Equity Capitalization Rate (Re)
  3. Mortgage Capitalization Rate (Rm)
  4. Overall Capitalization Rate (Ro)

Yield

  1. Interest Rate (i) (may also be called ‘discount rate’)
  2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
  3. Equity Yield Rate (Ye)

The GIM, Ro, RE, and RM are all current income rates and are used in the direct method of capitalization. The i, IRR, and YE are yield rates and are used in the yield method of capitalization. Under certain conditions, the yield rate for a particular property can be numerically equivalent to the corresponding income rate, but the rates are not the same conceptually, and are not interchangeable.

This article examines the direct method only, which is based on one year's income. The yield method is based on a discounting process of future benefits over a finite investment period and is examined in detail in advanced appraisal texts.

A current income rate is the ratio of one year's income to value (in the case of net income) and cash flow income, but, when the gross effective income is used, it is a value to income ratio. Yield rates apply to a series of individual incomes over an investment holding period to obtain the present value of each.

Example I features a comparable sale and a subject property to be appraised that will be used to demonstrate the relationship of these various rates and the analysis of both the sale and the application to the subject. The sale and the subject have been analyzed using the first year's income and expenses. For the purpose of demonstration in this example, the subject is illustrated to have either new financing to be arranged or an existing
assumable mortgage.

It should be noted that one sale is being used for demonstration purposes, but the appraiser should select at least four or five comparable sales to analyze the typical market, and should reconcile these rates to select the appropriate rate to be applied to the subject.

EXAMPLE I


Sale #1

Subject (new financing)

Subject (existing financing)

Sale price

$300,000



EGI

$50,000

$47,500

$47,500

Expenses

$20,000

$18,250

$18,250

Mortgage

$225,000

Ratio .70

$210,000

SAR

12%

11.5%

12%

FAP

25 years

25 year

23 years

Monthly payment

$2,321.55


$2,199.96

Annual debt service

$27,859


$26,400

Net operating income

$30,000

$29,250

$29,250

Cash flow

$2,141


$2,850



Income rates can be applied to component parts or interests in a real property. Property can be split into physical components such as land, buildings and chattels, or into financial components such as equity and mortgage interests. Appraisers might also want to estimate the value of the unencumbered fee simple, the leased fee, and the leasehold estate.



Current income Rates


A rate can be defined as a "Fixed relationship between two magnitudes and used as a means of measurement." Appraisers use actual sales and income data to derive the income rates. In advanced appraisal theory, other comparative methods can be used in the
absence of comparable sales data.


Gross Income Multiplier (GIM)


A GIM expresses the relationship between the gross income and the selling price of a comparable sale. Therefore, even though it is not expressed as a per cent, it falls within the definition of a "rate" and appraisers have used the word multipliers to differentiate it
from the net income and equity dividend rates.


By convention, appraisers in Canada use the effective gross income as the unit of comparison. Some appraisal texts use gross potential income multipliers, as well as effective gross, providing an additional capitalization rate. it should be noted that earlier appraisal teachings in Canada treated the GIM as a method to be used in the direct comparison approach. The current thinking allows that since income is being used as the unit of comparison, and is being capitalized by the use of a multiplier, this approach belongs more properly in the family of income-capitalization approaches to value.

A distinction is made in some texts between GIM and Gross Rent Multipliers (GRM), the difference being that GIM might include ancillary income such as parking and income from laundry facilities, signs, etc. To avoid the proliferation of different approaches, this article uses the GIM definition, and, obviously, where there is no ancillary income, the
gross rent would be the same as the gross income.


To estimate the correct multiple to be used, a market study of all sales and rentals of truly comparable properties must be carried out for the neighbourhood. This information is then set up in grid form from which an analysis and conclusion can be reached as to the
proper GIM to be used for the subject property being appraised.


Care must be taken that the properties have similar characteristics before multipliers can be used. If it is an appraisal of an apartment building, comparables must be in the same price range and size, and have similar locations, financing, expense ratios and rents.

Some apartment gross rents include parking, appliances, heat and utilities, and sometimes furniture. It is obvious that the appraiser must compare like with like when arriving at an appropriate multiplier to be applied against the subject property. As in all other approaches, the analysis of the comparables must be the same as the application against
the subject.


The GIM is calculated from comparable sales as follows:


Analysis

GIM = sale price : effective gross income


GIM = $300,000 : $50,000


GIM = 6.0


This calculation demonstrates that the comparable property sold for six times its gross effective income. This multiplier is then applied against the effective gross income of the.
subject property being appraised.


Application

V = GIM x EGI


V = 6.0 x $47,500


V = $285,000


Based on the GIM, the appraiser would then conclude that the market value of the subject
property is $285,000


The sale price used in the formula to estimate the multiplier is the unadjusted price with no adjustments being. Made for time, location, physical, financial, etc.

The gross effective income should be the forecasted gross effective income at the date of the sale. Usually, appraisers forecast the next 12 months' rent and vacancies to estimate the effective income for the subject property. Therefore, the same analysis should be
done for the comparable.


Since most owners account for income and expenses on an annual basis, some appraisal firms use a six- month rule when estimating incomes. That is, if the date of the sale, or the effective date of the appraisal of the subject, is within the first six months of the calendar year, then the current year's income is used. If the date of sale or appraisal occurs in the latter six months of the year, then the next calendar year's income is used.
Again, this is consistent with die analysis/application rule.


Normally, no adjustments are made to the rents when deriving the multiplier. In many areas, however, and when there are insufficient comparables, it might be necessary to make adjustments. For example, if some apartment rents include utilities and others do not, it could be possible to calculate multipliers based on rents without utilities, by deducting the utility costs from the gross rents when calculating the modifiers. Similarly, adjustments could be made for other variables such as appliances and furniture.

The strength of the GIM as an appraisal tool is that it is relatively easy to calculate and apply to a subject property. This method is easily understood by non-appraisers, and, in fact, non-technical investors can use it in formulating offer prices for smaller income properties. Usually, the relevant data is easily acquired.


One weakness of the GIM is that it does not take into account the expenses that can vary from property to property. Another is that it does not account for any variations in financing that can affect the value of the equity interest being appraised.

Equity Capitalization Rate (RE)


The RE is the relationship between the forecasted before-tax cash flow and the equity capital of the purchase price. It is derived from sales of comparable properties as follows:

Analysis

RE = I ñ ADS Sale price - $Mortgage


RE = $30,000 - $27,859 (Cash flow) $300,000 ñ $225,000 Equity


RE = $2,141 $75,000


E = 0.02854666 rounded to 0.0285, or 2.85%



The rate of 2.85 per cent merely reflects that purchasers are willing to buy with the use of mortgage funds and are willing to accept a positive cash flow out of the current year's income only, equal to 2.85 per cent of the equity invested. The rate does not explain the investment return or yield to the investor. As was the case with the GIM, the analysis of the income and expenses of the sale should be similar to the analysis of the income and expenses of the subject, i.e., the next year's or the past year's operation.

Application

The equity capitalization rate can be used to capitalize the cash flow of the subject property directly, on the assumption that the existing mortgage is assumable by a potential purchaser.


VO = MS + Cash flow RE

VO = $210,000 + $2,850 .0285

VO = $210,000 + $100,000

VO = $310,000



Since the value of the mortgage was known, the appraiser estimated the value of the equity by capitalizing the cash flow, and then added the result to the value of the mortgage to estimate the leased fee interest subject to existing financing.

The RE can be used also in the band of investment method of calculating an overall rate (see section entitled Overall Capitalization Rate).


If financing is a factor, the strength of the RE is that only the equity portion of the investment has to be estimated by the appraiser, since the mortgage is either existing and establishes the mortgage portion of the purchase, or the current mortgage market conditions will clearly set the rate, the lending ratio, and the amortization period and lending term. If typical financing provides 70 per cent mortgage ratios at current mortgage rates, then the appraiser's judgement must be used to estimate the remaining 30 per cent of the capitalization rate. Since most income properties are purchased with the use of borrowed funds, there might be adequate comparable sales data from which the appraiser can derive equity dividend rates.


The weakness of this rate is that it can be misapplied. In the previous example, if the equity dividend rate were applied to a similar property where only 50 per cent financing was available, the resulting estimate of value would be much higher, because a larger equity cash flow would be capitalized at a lower rate (the lower the rate, the higher the value). In an example of absurd lengths, a similar property with no financing would have an even higher capitalized value, this, of course, being completely unrealistic.

Another weakness can be the application where financing is only short-term. In the case of short-term financing, the current cash flow might not be a significant factor, because the purchaser might be anticipating lower mortgage rates in the near future. Therefore, the appraiser should be cautioned to analyze the market data carefully to identify the trends, and use the market-derived equity dividend rate only when there is clear evidence that there is some consistency in the behavior of the investors in similar types of properties.

Mortgage Capitalization Rate (RE)


The RE expresses the relationship between the annual debt service and the principal amount of the mortgage at the date of the sale. This rate can be found by multiplying the column six factor from column six of the Six Functions of One Dollar by 12, using the appropriate rate and amortization period as follows:


RM = Column Six factor x 12 OR RM = Annual debt service


Mortgage principal Analysis


From the given comparable sale:



RM = .010318 X 12 = .123816, or 12.3816% OR


RM = =$27,859 $225,000 = .123818, or 12.3818%


The slight difference in the two methods is a result of rounding.



Application

The RM is used in the band of investment method for calculating the RO. The RM is fairly straightforward and based on the mathematics of mortgages. The Six Functions of One Dollar are used for Canadian mortgages with blended monthly payments. Other mortgage variations can exist, and therefore the column six factor might not always be applicable.

The strength of this rate is that it is relatively easy to calculate and market information is usually readily available. The weakness might be that, in volatile economic conditions, mortgage rates can be changing quickly, and an appraiser might use a new mortgage rate without having any sales evidence to see what impact, if any, the mortgage rates can have on the equity rates. It could be that, in situations where mortgage rates have increased, the purchaser might be willing to accept lower dividend rates because they expect long-run mortgage rates to decline.


OverallCapitalization Rate (RO)


The Ro expresses the relationship between the current year's income and the value of the property. The applicable formula is:


Value = Net operating income


Overall capitalization rate, or


VO = I RO



This is the basic capitalization formula, and it applies to the rates and incomes (as defined) for all of the current ratio capitalization methods. From this formula, it is easy to derive the following relationships:


I = VO X RO RO = I VO


The overall rate can be derived from three sources described as follows:

1. Sales of comparable properties, by comparing the net incomes to the selling prices:

RO = I Sale price


This is the most direct of the three methods of estimating overall rates. The appraiser analyses sales of comparable properties having similar investment features, expense ratios, financing, ages, and types of properties. For each of the sales, an analysis must be made of the income and expenses to obtain the net operating income, in the same manner as for the subject property being appraised. If the first year's income is being used for the subject, the first year's income must also be used for the sale. The sale price used is the unadjusted price. The appraiser should use several sales (preferably four or five) to establish the trend. The individual rates derived should be reconciled by the appraiser, and the appropriate rate should be applied to the subject property.


Analysis

The example can be used to demonstrate the calculation of the rate from a sale.

RO = Net operating income Sale price RO = $30,000


$300,000 RO = .10, or 10%


The overall rate of 10 per cent does not explain the yield or rate of return on the investment. It merely expresses the relationship between the sale price and the next year's net operating income at the date of the sale. If it was expressed as a multiplier, it would be 10 times the net operating income. As indicated earlier, by convention, appraisers in Canada have used capitalization rates rather than multipliers when dealing with net operating income.


Application

VO = I RO


VO = $29,250 .10


VO = $292,500



Therefore, based on the overall rate calculated from sales, the appraiser would estimate the market value of the property to be $292,500.


The strength of the overall rate based on direct sales analysis is that it is easy to calculate, and it does not require any adjustments or hypotheses about future incomes or existing or future financing. It is also easy to explain to the non-professional appraiser. Since the calculation is relatively easy, it is conceivable that investors could also use this method as a tool to formulate an offering price for a property. Therefore, the rate is directly supported by the activities and actions of the marketplace.

The weakness of the overall rate based on direct sales is that the appraiser must carefully analyze the income and expenses from both the sales and the subject property to make a comparison. Information might not always be available from the comparable sales. The sales method does not directly take financing into account, and, if variations in financing affect the value, this is not compensated for. This method does not explain the "return on" or "return ofî the investment, and it does not provide any "investment analysis" information. The method is applicable only where there are a sufficient number of comparable sales to provide the appraiser with enough information to make a realistic analysis of the rates.


2. Band of investment (financial), blending the weighted rates of mortgage and equity into an overall rate.


RO = (M x RM) + (I -M(RE)


The band of investment equation is also known in the following format when the subscript notations are not used:


R = (M x f) +(E x y)


It is acceptable to write the equation in either algebraic formula, and the reader should recognize that both methods are the band of investment.


This method blends the RM with the RE. It is used when the amount of the mortgage is unknown, because lenders will usually lend on a ratio of the market value of the property that the appraiser estimates. The mortgage and equity ratios are based on what the market activity appears to indicate, and upon discussions with mortgage lending officers with respect to rates, ratios and types of properties to which they are extending mortgages.

Analysis

RO = (M x RM) + (1 - M)(RE)= .70 RM = 12 x .009970


(i.e., 12 x Column 6) = 0.11964


Therefore, RE = 0.0285


In this analysis, the mortgage rate and financing ratio would have come from an analysis of the mortgage market based on the financing available as of the effective date of appraisal. The equity dividend rate was based on the analysis of the sale.

Application

RO = (.7 X 0.11964)+ (1 - .7)(0.0285)


RO = 0.083748 + 0.00855

RO = .092298


VO = u>$29,250 .092298


VO = $316,908 rounded to = $317,000



Therefore, based on the overall rate, and using the band of investment analysis, the estimated market value of the "leased fee interest subject to typical financing" is $317,000.

The strengths of this approach, in addition to those for the rate based on direct sales analysis, are that the financing aspects are taken into account, and that the appraiser has to estimate only 30 per cent (in this case) of the RO, because the mortgage portion can be obtained from known sources. It should be recognized also that the dividend rate is based on sales analysis, which reflects the actions of buyers and sellers.


As indicated earlier, the weakness can be in the misapplication of dividend rates to properties that are not comparable, or to financing terms, or financing ratios, that are not typical.

3. Gross income multipliers, combined with comparable Operating Expense Ratios (OER).

RO = 1 - OER GIM


This approach may be used when GIMs are available - but operating expenses are not - for comparable sales. The appraiser can use typical expense ratios for similar-type properties to derive the overall rate.


Analysis

RO = I ñ OER GIM


OER = $20,000


$50,000 = .40


RO = 1 - .40 6.0


RO = 0.60 6.0


RO = 0.10, or 10%


This calculation confirms the RO calculated from the direct sales analysis when the net operating income was known. In the example, we did know the expenses and we could calculate the RO directly, however, the application of this formula would apply where actual expenses for comparables were unknown, but GIMs could be calculated from known sales, and expense ratios could be estimated based on similar-type properties.

Application

The application of the overall rate is the same in this instance as that indicated in the section entitled Sales of Comparable Properties.


Rate comparison


Each method can produce a different result, as indicated by Example 11.

The GIM produced the lowest estimate and the overall rate based on the band of investment produced the highest estimate. The inconsistencies are apparent when only one sale is used' s a comparable. The appraiser should use four or five comparables to make an analysis of the rates, however, and should reconcile the rates to estimate which are more consistent. If little variation is found in overall rates based on sales, that rate should then be used on the basis that investors appear to be ignoring financing. If little variation is found in dividend rates, it would then appear that financing is important to the investor, and the appraiser should reflect these actions by using the band of investment (financial) method of estimating the overall rate.


EXAMPLE 3


Rate used: Market value estimate


Gross income multiplier...................... ……………$285,000

Equity dividend rate*.............................................. 310,000

Overall rate from sales............................................ 292,500

Overall rate from band of investment..................... 317,000

Overall rate from GIM and OER............................ 292,500


*This estimate was based on existing assumable financing.


Summary

If the appraiser understands the various methods of capitalization, it is possible to analyze the market transactions to determine which method investors appear to be relying upon in current market locations and conditions. It is possible for markets to act differently across the country, and one method may be applicable in one location, but not necessarily in another. Also, there may be various sub-markets within a local market, and the investors' analysis may differ in each.


Therefore, if the analysis of the market and application to the subject are consistently applied, the appraiser can estimate the market value of smaller income properties, based on the local market conditions, through the use of the direct capitalization methods.

Internal Rate Of Return


INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN

The internal rate of return (or IRR) is a common financial valuation metric used by financial analysts to calculate and assess the financial attractiveness / viability of capital intensive projects or investments.

As the IRR is normally easier to understand than the result of a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis (i.e. the net present value or NPV) for non-financial executives, it is often used to explain and justify investment decisions, although a good financial modeler should know that the IRR is after all an estimated value, especially when calculated in Excel, and should be used in conjunction with other financial metrics such as the NPV and comparable valuation multiples when presenting a business or investment case.

So what exactly is the IRR? The IRR is the interest rate that makes the net present value of all cash flow equal to zero. In financial analysis terms, the IRR can be defined a discount rate at which the present value of a series of investments is equal to the present value of the returns on those investments.

All projects or investments with an IRR that has been calculated in a financial modeling exercise to be greater than the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (or WACC) should technically be considered as financially viable and accepted.

When choosing between projects or investments whose outcomes or performance are absolutely independent of one another, a good financial modeler should deem the project or investment with the highest calculated IRR to be the most financially attractive, so long as we continue to keep in mind that the IRR value also needs to be higher than the WACC.

Modified Internal Rate Of Return (MIRR)

The modified IRR (MIRR) is said to reflect the profitability of a project or investment more realistically than an IRR. The reason why this is so is because the IRR assumes the cash flow from an investment or project to be reinvested at the IRR, whereas the modified IRR assumes that all cash flows to be reinvested at the investor’s / firm’s cost of capital.

The MIRR is used extensively in real estate financial analysis due to the nature and timing of cash flows and investments for real estate investments.

Dividend IRR

The ongoing financial returns to investors who own and retain the equity of a business or project is essentially by way of financial / cash dividend payouts.

As equity investors are typically last in rank in the cash flow waterfall, and therefore face the greatest risk of not being paid should the investment turn sour when compared to holders of other forms of ownership in the same investment, equity investors would therefore expect the highest return.

The dividend IRR is therefore used extensively by equity investors to calculate and measure the discount rate at which the present value of cash dividend payouts equal the present value of equity investments.